The European Commission released the latest EU Agricultural Outlook report, providing EU agricultural market forecasts for 2025-2035.
For the pork market, due to sustainability issues, per capita pork consumption in the EU is expected to decrease by 0.4% per year, falling to 30 kg by 2035. The intensive pork production system is under pressure from public opinion, and EU pork production is also expected to decline. African swine fever will continue to exist, but there will be no large-scale outbreak. EU pork exports increased in the previous decade, but as pork production in Asian countries recovers, EU pork exports are expected to decrease by 338,000 tons in 2035 compared with the average level in 2022-2024, and remain almost stable compared with 2024. Pork prices may be higher than in the past due to rising costs and reduced EU pork supply.
For other meat markets, beef production is expected to decrease due to sustainability issues, low profits and strict regulations. Similarly, beef consumption is expected to decline due to tight supply and high prices. Poultry meat is a healthy, high-quality protein with a low price. Coupled with the increase in export opportunities in recent years, poultry meat production is expected to increase by 2035, but the annual growth rate will be lower than in the past decade. Sheep and goat meat production is expected to continue to decline, but due to traditional consumption habits, per capita sheep meat consumption in the EU is expected to remain relatively stable.
For the pork market, due to sustainability issues, per capita pork consumption in the EU is expected to decrease by 0.4% per year, falling to 30 kg by 2035. The intensive pork production system is under pressure from public opinion, and EU pork production is also expected to decline. African swine fever will continue to exist, but there will be no large-scale outbreak. EU pork exports increased in the previous decade, but as pork production in Asian countries recovers, EU pork exports are expected to decrease by 338,000 tons in 2035 compared with the average level in 2022-2024, and remain almost stable compared with 2024. Pork prices may be higher than in the past due to rising costs and reduced EU pork supply.
For other meat markets, beef production is expected to decrease due to sustainability issues, low profits and strict regulations. Similarly, beef consumption is expected to decline due to tight supply and high prices. Poultry meat is a healthy, high-quality protein with a low price. Coupled with the increase in export opportunities in recent years, poultry meat production is expected to increase by 2035, but the annual growth rate will be lower than in the past decade. Sheep and goat meat production is expected to continue to decline, but due to traditional consumption habits, per capita sheep meat consumption in the EU is expected to remain relatively stable.